LOAD FORECASTING USING ARMA METHOD
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24867/26BE01IviciakKeywords:
Prognoza potrošnje električne energije, ARMAAbstract
The paper describes the types of load forecasts. Some methods for load forecast and factors that are important and affect its accuracy are described. In practical part of the work, a web application was developed that uses the ARMA method for load forecasting based on historical electricity consmuption. The paper will present results of load forecast for some cases, where it will be possible to see how the selection of values of parametars and search interval affects the precision of load forecast.
References
G. Gross, F. D Galiana, Short-term forecasting, Proceedings of the IEEE, December 1987
Eugene A. Feinberg, Dora Genethliou, Load Forcasting, State University of New York, 2005
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autocorrelation, Autocorrelation, pristupljeno: jul 2023.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Partial_autocorrelation_function, Partial autocorrelation function, pristupljeno: jul
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-average_model, Autoregressive – moving – average model, pristupljeno: jul 2023.
Eugene A. Feinberg, Dora Genethliou, Load Forcasting, State University of New York, 2005
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autocorrelation, Autocorrelation, pristupljeno: jul 2023.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Partial_autocorrelation_function, Partial autocorrelation function, pristupljeno: jul
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-average_model, Autoregressive – moving – average model, pristupljeno: jul 2023.
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Published
2024-03-02
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Section
Electrotechnical and Computer Engineering
